Hey there. I’m back. Sorry I haven’t been as involved this year. Just a lot of changes in the personal world and, frankly, the NFL is leaving a bad taste in my mouth this year. Not bad enough to make me stop watching, but definitely bad enough to make me not immerse myself in it as much as I have in the past. I think it showed in my early season columns critical of Goodell. I haven't softened my stance on that much. And it certainly shows in my abysmal record against the spread this year. Which I finally got around to figuring out this week and you can find at the end of this column. (Hint, it is really really REALLY ugly). I hope you haven’t been going off my pics too much. I do, however, still offer my money back guarantee. Feel free to take advantage of that if you like.
Just a couple things I have been right about this year. Arizona being for real, the Bears defense, the Packers offense, the Raiders being awful, the Seahawks not being as good as they think they are.
And just a sampling of the things I have been wrong about: the Cowboys, The Patriots fading this year, Jacksonville being competitive, Tampa Bay being better, the Colts missing the playoffs, and Roger Goodell being capable of telling the truth. Before you finish this article Goodell will suspend 3 players outside the scope allowed by the CBA.
There were plenty more, but now I am back and have a newfound focus. Lets do this.
Chiefs at RAIDERS +7: I have to brag a little here. I totally called this money line. The Raiders had to win a game because no one is as bad as that Lions team. It was a rivalry game. At night. In a pouring rain. And it involved Andy Reid. Called it.
Lions at PATRIOTS -7: Speaking of the Lions… Can they stop Gronk? No. That’s enough for me. Unless Megatron remembers who he is.
BROWNS at Falcons -3: Yup, two of the teams I have no idea how to handicap playing each other. I think the Browns defense wins this one for them. The Falcons still don’t have much of a line.
TAMPA at Chicago -5.5: Just one of a few games that had London potential going on this week. Sure, it might have fantasy implications, but not much beyond that.
BENGALS at Texans -2: I don't get this line. And that makes me worry. Does Dalton have another road win in him? Is it easier for him on the road now that his hame fans have turned on him? Hmmmm
Jaguars at COLTS -13.5: Yeah, I am not going to waste your time with this one.
PACKERS at Vikings +8: The way Rogers is playing I should be a lot more confident about this line than I am. Minnesota could get screwed by 2 Rogers this week. Aaron and Goodell. Huh.
TITANS at Eagles -11: Just too many points for a shell shocked Sanchez against a feisty Titans defense.
Rams at CHARGERS -5: How many good games do the Rams have left in them? How many bad games do the Chargers have left? I will roll the dice with Rivers and company here.
CARDINALS at Seattle -7: The ultimate test of my Cardinals are for real theory. Will the Seahawks get up for this game? Do they have enough offense to win this game? By 7?
Dolphins at DENVER -7: Manning can’t play too many bad games in a row can he? Home cooking warms him up this week.
Washington at NINERS -9: Have you given up on the Redskins’ season yet? Have they? I have.
COWBOYS at Giants -3.5: Really want to pull the trigger on the Giants here. This is a game Dallas should win easy. And that is the game they always lose.
Jets at BILLS -3 (In Detroit): This game is the biggest snow job since Goodell said he didn’t know what was on the Ray Rice elevator tape. Poor Buffalo. I hope they get a chance to dig out. And I hope that the people that got free tickets to this game in Ford Field make it as loud a home game as they can for Buffalo. On the field, I just don’t think the Jets can stop the Bills. And that is saying something.
Ravens at SAINTS -3: I flipped on this game about 3 times. The Saints bounce back after a big beat down at home by the Bengals. Besides, we can’t have a clear cut leader in the AFC North just yet.